September 24, 2023

Backtesting actively managed liquid crypto strategies

September 5, 2023

A venture approach to conducting research on liquid investment opportunities in crypto

August 30, 2023

Building data dashboards to make investment decisions in liquid crypto markets

August 21, 2023

Using regression to determine significant independent variables that impact prices for ecosystem and app tokens

August 15, 2023

A systematic process for segmenting, qualifying, and researching new token opportunities

July 26, 2023

Liquid Venture Capital is a more flexible investment paradigm for the emerging crypto asset class, and combines venture-style returns with lower risk and a shorter commitment

July 19, 2023

Developing a liquid venture capital strategy at FJ Labs

March 20, 2023

An explanation of how the recent banking crisis and BTFP initiative have changed my initial accumulation range expectations for Bitcoin

• HTF Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern

• 21-week Moving Average

• Interaction Between HTF Exponential Moving Averages

• Total 2 Market Cap retracement to -80% Range

• Stock RSI Cycling to the Lows on the HTF

• MACD Cross

• HTF Bullish Divergences Present using both AO and RSI

• BTC Log Chart Cycling to the Low of the Range

• Price Above the HTF Ichimoku Cloud

• Backwardation After a Horrific Down Candle

• Bearish news surrounding crypto, with market pundits declaring the asset class “dead”

• Significant drop off in crypto-related google search terms

• Depressed sentiment levels across bespoke sentiment analysis model

• Amount of USDC and USDT in the System

• Unrealized Net Profit/Loss

• Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV)

• Accumulation Trend Score

• Adjusted Dormancy Score

• Ratio Reset for GBTC/BTC and ETHE/ETH

• Interest Rates

• Correlation to the M2 money supply

• Correlation to Risk Assets (e.g. QQQ, NQX)

• DXY Weakness

• Correlation to Inverted 10-year Real Rates

• Bottoming Process of the US10Y-US2Y

I look for bottom formation by watching signals from four key areas: Macro, Capital Inflows, Sentiment, and Technical Analysis. This is an introductory post in a series that will discuss these four areas.

December 23, 2022

A decentralized personal server platform that seeks to deconstruct the client-server model in favor of a federated network of personal servers in a peer-to-peer network with a consistent digital identity

December 13th, 2022

Decentralizing the web 3 tech stack

November 15, 2022

Bitcoin high time frame accumulation range for 2023-24

November 2, 2022

Understanding crypto valuation models and using linear regression to identify variables that act on price

October 21, 2022

A brief overview of the evolving landscape of Layer-0, Layer-1, and Layer-2 blockchain scaling solutions

October 10, 2022

Short term bitcoin price action scenarios in October

September 30, 2022

My thoughts on the current market structure, support levels, and initial spot positioning later this fall